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UFC Fight Night 114

UFC Fight Night 114 takes place this weekend from Mexico City, Mexico and we are handicapping this card looking for two fights that we like the best on the card.  

Sam Alvey vs. Rashad Evans

The first fight we are looking at is in the middleweight division between Smilin’ Sam Alvey and “Suga” Rashad Evans.  Alvey comes into this fight off a decision loss against Thales Leites at UFC Fight Night 108 back on April 22.  Prior to the loss, Alvey has won 4 fights in a row against Nate Marquardt, Alex Nicholson, Kevin Casey and Eric Spicely.  Alvey is 30-9 overall and 7-4 in the UFC.  An interesting fact about Alvey is he is 7-0 as a favorite and comes into this fight at the -160 favorite.  

“Suga” Rashad Evans is 19-6-1 overall and 14-6 in the UFC.  Evans comes into this fight on a 3 fight losing streak against Daniel Kelly, Glover Teixeira and Ryan Bader. Evans could be fighting for his UFC career this week in a must win situation.  

When you handicap this fight, there are a few things that stand out immediately.  First and foremost, Evans chin has become suspect and will be going up against someone who has a similar style as Glover Teixeira.  Alvey is a hard nosed striker that has natural power in his hands.  If he connects, he can turn the lights out quick.  With Evans, he is going to try to take the fight down and grind out a victory.  I think both of these guys have the ability to finish the other and I will go with the totals UNDER 2.5 rounds +155 for 3 Units

Pick: Sam Alvey vs. Rashad Evans UNDER 2.5 rounds for 3 Units

Brad Scott vs. Jack Hermansson

The next fight I’m interested in is Brad Scott vs. Jack Hermansson in the middleweight division.  Brad Scott is coming in off a split decision win over Scott Askham at UFC Fight Night 107 on March 18, 2017.  Scott is now 11-4 overall and is 3-3 in the UFC.  Scott has alternated every fight he has had in the UFC since his debut back in 2012 against Robert Whittaker.  Scott has finished 91% of his opponents inside the distance and will be looking to get another finish against his opponent Jack Hermansson.

Jack Hermansson is 15-3 overall and is 2-1 in the UFC.  Hermansson has finished 80% of his opponents by finish, 9 by KO/TKO.  Hermansson is coming into this fight off a 1st round KO of Alex Nicholson at UFC Fight Night 109 back on May 28, 2017.  Hermansson’s other win in the UFC was against Scott Askham, who he went to a decision with in his UFC debut.  His only loss in the UFC was against Cear Ferreira.  Hermansson has very good wrestling and is tough to take down.  

This fight is between two fighters that look for finishes and both have high percentage finishing rates.  Hermansson has really good takedown defense and should be able to keep this fight on the feet.  I think it turns into a striking match with one or the other falling prey to the knockout!  This one ends before the final round.

Pick: Hermansson vs. Scott Under 2.5 Rounds +120 for 3 Units